دوره 3، شماره 1 - ( بهار 1401 )
جلد 3 شماره 1 صفحات 178-161 |
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یگانه افشین، شفیعی اشکان، بکایی آذر. تحلیل سطح تاب‌آوری اقتصادی و اجتماعی باغداران در برابر خشکسالی و عوامل مؤثر بر آن (مورد مطالعه: بخش مرکزی شهرستان ملکان). مطالعات جغرافیایی مناطق کوهستانی. 1401; 3 (1) :161-178
1- دانشجوی دکتری جغرافیا و برنامه ریزی روستایی، دانشکده علوم محیطی و برنامه ریزی، دانشگاه تبریز، تبریز، ایران.
چکیده: (2320 مشاهده)
امروزه، تغییر اقلیم و بروز پدیدههای آب و هوایی همچون خشکسالی، خسارات اقتصادی و اجتماعی فراوانی را در نواحی روستایی بهدنبال داشته است و زندگی ساکنان روستاها را تحت تأثیر قرار داده است. با عنایت به این مسأله، هدف پژوهش حاضر سنجش و تحلیل سطح تاب‌آوری اقتصادی و اجتماعی باغداران روستاهای بخش مرکزی شهرستان ملکان در برابر خشکسالی و همچنین شناسایی عوامل مؤثر بر میزان تاب‌آوری آنان بود. این پژوهش از حیث هدف کاربردی و از نظر روش انجام توصیفی – تحلیلی (علّی) با ماهیتی کمی است. دادهها و اطلاعات بر مبنای دو روش اسنادی و میدانی (پرسشنامه) جمع‌آوری گردید. واحد تحلیل پژوهش، باغداران ساکن در محدوده مورد مطالعه و افراد مطلع محلی بودند. همچنین جهت تجزیه و تحلیل دادههای گردآوری شده از تکنیک کوپراس و معادلات ساختاری استفاده شد. نتایج تحقیق نشان می‌دهد که باغداران روستاهای اروق و لکلر بالاترین و روستاهای سرمهلو، علی آباد قشلاق، یولقنلوی جدید، یولقنلوی قدیم و تازه کندخان کندی پایینترین سطح تاب‌آوری را در برابر خشکسالی دارند. نتایج مدلسازی نیز نشانگر آن است که متغیر «اقدامات محلی» در حد آستانه متوسط، متغیر «سرمایه اجتماعی» در حد آستانه متوسط و نهایتاً متغیر «سیاست‌ها و حمایت‌های دولتی» در حد آستانه قابل توجه قرار دارند.
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