Journal of Geographical Studies of Mountainous Areas

Journal of Geographical Studies of Mountainous Areas

Analysis of planning effectsin reducing vulnerability to flood risk(Case study: Talash city)

Document Type : Original Article

Authors
1 PhD Student of Geography and urban planning, Astara Branch, Islamic Azad University, Astara, Iran.
2 Associate Professor, Department of Geography, Astara Branch, Islamic Azad University, Astara, Iran
3 Assistant Professor, Department of Geography, Astara Branch, Islamic Azad University, Astara, Iran
Abstract
Introduction

Intensification of flood vulnerability and distance from resilience is caused by human intervention and construction, regardless of the conditions of the natural bed. The impermeability of the surface of urban watersheds and the changes that occur due to the growth and development of the city, such as the destruction of vegetation, soil density, and the creation of a system for collecting and directing surface water, greatly reduce water penetration into the soil. At present, the dominant view has changed from focusing only on reducing vulnerability to increasing disaster resilience. Gilan province is also considered among the disaster-prone provinces of the country, and according to the announcement of the director general of crisis management, Gilan is one of the first 5 provinces facing natural disasters, also, its proximity to the Caspian Sea and the benefit of oil and gas fields have given it a special political-economic position. Talash city is the second most populated city of this province according to the statistics announced by the fire department and possible safety services for all kinds of natural disasters are foreseen in it. On the other hand, due to the fact that it is one of the most sensitive areas of the country when the enemy's military attacks occur. Therefore, considering the occurrence of environmental hazards in the city of Talash, it seems necessary to adopt strategies to improve it by relying on the principles of passive defense.
 

Methodology

According to the nature of the subject and its general purpose, the present research is of the type of applied studies and in terms of methodology, it is of the type of descriptive-analytical studies. In this research, the library study method including the use of books, articles and the global Internet network was used to collect information, as well as the field methods of questionnaires, interviews and consultations were used to provide information for qualitative and quantitative data analysis. The statistical sample size was determined using the Cochran method and the sampling method was based on simple random sampling. The explanation of natural hazards was examined in four economic, social, physical, institutional and environmental aspects, and its indicators and components were determined based on theoretical foundations and research background. 383 citizens and 30 individuals were selected as a research sample to measure vulnerability among the households living in Talash city. Then SPSS software was used to check the relationship between indicators and their analysis and the output of each part of the work was drawn as a map using ARCGIS software.

Results

Flood is one of the risks that causes financial and human losses every year in the world and in Iran, in order to prevent the occurrence and damage of flood, it identifies the areas that have a high potential in creating this phenomenon. In the current research, the vulnerability of Talash city was determined by using standard indicators, and taking into account the results of the methods and combining them with the geographic information system, the vulnerability map of the city was drawn. Looking at Figure 5, which is the output of SPSS model, it can be said that the eastern, southeastern part of Talash city is in a vulnerable condition compared to other places. It was also found that the conditions of the central core of Talash city are unsuitable and when a flood occurs, it will cause casualties and financial damage. These neighborhoods correspond to the worn-out texture and the old outskirts of the city, which are in unfavorable conditions and are seriously vulnerable.
 

Discussion

The results of Friedman's test show that in terms of indicators, the social index with an average of 2.92 is in an unfavorable condition and the institutional index with an average of 2.11 is in a favorable condition. In addition to the cases mentioned in the implementation of urban vulnerability, according to the test of the characteristics of single samples, social indicators with an average of 2.56 (first priority) and institutional with an average of 2.44 (last priority) have a role in the efficiency of urban resilience in Talash city; Therefore, at the 95% confident level, it can be claimed that the condition of the indicators in the studied area is less vulnerable in the face of floods and these variables are on average lower than the average level of 3.
Spearman's correlation coefficient was tested and the results obtained that there is a significant relationship between the components of Talash city through statistical tests showed that there is a significant relationship between the degree of vulnerability and the social, economic, and physical institutional components. In other words, according to the Spearman correlation coefficient, there is a strong and positive correlation between the significant ratios. According to the output results of GIS software, it can be said that the western part of the city is naturally highly vulnerable. In the current research, it was found that the conditions in the east, southeast and center of Talash urban area are critical and during the flood, the number of casualties and financial damages will be high.
 

Conclusion

Finally, in this research, the obtained results showed that the method used in the research was able to evaluate the studied area well, and the vulnerable parts, which mostly include the eastern areas of Talash city, were displayed in the final map. The results of the investigation and other research conclusions can be lessons in the preparation of increasing resilience against reactions and crises. In such a way that the city is considered against the risks of a goal at all levels of planning, which will reduce damage in cities.
Keywords

Afshari Azad, M. R., & Pouraki, H. (2013). Classification and analysis of geomorphic phenomena in the west coast of the Caspian with approach to water level fluctuations. Journal of Geography and Regional Development, 10(2), -. Doi: 10.22067/geography.v0i0.23245 (in Persian)
 
Afsharmanesh H, hejazizadeh Z, Alijani B. Future studies of the Crisis Increases surface Temperature and Reduces the Climatic Comfort of Citizens in Tehran Metropolis. Jgs 2021; 21 (61): 1(in Persian)
Ahadnead, M., Garakhlo, M., & Zyarei, K. (2010). Modeling the Vulnerability of Urban Buildings against Earthquake by Method of Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) (Case Study of Zanjan City). Geography and Development, 8(19), 171-198. Doi: 10.22111/gdij.2010.1114 (in Persian)
Alizadeh A, (2014), principles of applied hydrology, Imam Reza University Press: Mashhad. (in Persian)
Azadkhani, P., Hoseinzadeh, J., & Kamari, S. (2021). Evaluating the Vulnerability of Ilam City Facilities to Environmental Threats (Flood) Using Passive Defense Approach. Journal of Natural Environmental Hazards, 10(29), 33-52. Doi: 10.22111/jneh.2020.32690.1599 (in Persian)
Belvasi, I. A., Asghari Saraskanrod, S., Esfandiari Dorabad, F., & Zeinali, B. (2020). The Role of Land Use Changes on Run-off and Flood Properties in the Doab Catchment. Iranian journal of Ecohydrology, 7(2), 331-344. Doi: 10.22059/ije.2020.295346.1263 (in Persian)
Cutter, Susan (1996). “Societal Vulnerability to Environmental Hazards”, InternationalSocial Social Science Journal. 47 (4): 525-536.
Darban, A. R., & Haraeeni, M. (2019). Spatial analysis of Social _economic resilience against earthquake in rural community’s Case study: Aftab district, Tehran County. Journal of Geography and Planning, 23(68), 91-111. (In Persian)
Ebrahimi Dehkordi, A. (2018). Evaluation of the level of preparedness of Royan city against natural disasters with an emphasis on the urban resilience approach, geography and urban planning Journal of Zagros landscape, Vol.10, No.37, Pp. 153-166. https://sanad.iau.ir/fa/Journal/zagros/Article/667175?jid=667175 (in Persian)
Ghanbari, A., Salaki Maleki, M. A., & Ghasemi, M. (2013). Zoning of Cities Level of Vulnerability toEarthquake Danger (Case Study: Tabriz. Journal of Geography and Environmental Hazards, 2(1), 21-36. Doi: 10.22067/geo.v2i1.15617 (in Persian)
Jia, u., Wang, X., Naima, A., Hersi, M., Zhao, W. (2019): Flood-Risk Zoning Based on Analytic Hierarchy Process and Fuzzy Variable Set Theory, Natural Hazards, 20(3), PP.1-8.
Khazaei.S & Kazemi, M., J. (2016). Modeling of Required Time to Reach the Maximum Phosgene Oxime Pollution in Runoff (Case Study: The Adjacent Areas of Kan River and North Flood Return of West Tehran). Journal of Advanced Defense Science & Technology, 7(1), 9-18. 20.1001.1.26762935.1395.7.1.2.3(In Persian)
Khodapanah, K. (2022). Evaluation and measurement of resilience of tourism target villages (Case study: Ardabil region). Journal of Geography and Planning, 26(80), 131-117. Doi: 10.22034/gp.2021.45990.2838 (in Persian)
Maleki, Y. (2022), Explanation and evaluation of land use against floods with non-active defense approach (case study: Ravansar city), Master's Thesis of Geography and Urban Planning, Department of Geography, Faculty of Social Sciences, Payam Noor University, Paveh Branch(in Persian)
Nazari AN H, Mirzaali M, Taleshi M. (2019), Effects of Economic Components on the Resilience of Flooded Villagers; a Case Study of Gorganrud Marginal Villages. GeoRes; 34 (3):333-346(in Persian)
Ramezanzadelasbooi, M., & Badri, A. (2014). Explaining the socio-economic structures of resilience of local communities against natural disasters with an emphasis on floods, a case study: the tourism basins of Kileh Tankabon spring and Sardabroud Kalardasht.. Geography, 12(40), 109-131. (in Persian)
Rana, Irfan Ahmad. Bhatti, Saad Saleem. Jamshid, Ali.Ahmad, Shakil(2021) An approach to inderstanding the intrinsing complexity of resilience against floods: Evidences from three urban communities of Pakistan, International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, Volume 63,September 2021, 102442.
Rodrıguez, Havidan, Quarantelli, Enrico L. and Dynes, Russell (2008), Handbook of Disaster Research, Springer Science+Business Media, LLC.
Roohi, B., Mirza Ebrahim Tehrani, M., Estalaji, A., & Farzad Behtash, M.  R. (2021). Resilience of key buildings in Hamedan against floods using LISREL structural equation modeling. Environmental Management Hazards, 8(3), 207-228. Doi: 10.22059/jhsci.2021.329891.672 (in Persian).
Salehi, H., Gandomkar, A., Khademolhoseini, A., & Abbasi, A. (2022). Assessing the Problems and Increasing the Resilience of Madi in Isfahan against Urban Floods (A Case Study: Zones 1 and 3). Geography and Environmental Sustainability, 12(4), 37-53. Doi: 10.22126/ges.2022.7807.2539 (in Persian)
Singh, R.B. (2006). Natural hazards and disaster management, vulnerability and Mitigation, New Delhi: Rawat Publications.
Tilio, L. Murgante, M. Di Trani, F. Vona, M. & Masi, A. (2011). Resilient City and Seismic Risk: A Spatial Multi criteria Approach, ICCSA, Part I, Springer-Verlag, Berlin, Heidelberg, 410-422.
Vink, K. & Takeuchi, K. (2013). International comparison of measures taken for vulnerable People in disaster risk management laws, International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 4, 63–70.
Wisner, B, Blaikie, P, Cannon, T, Davis, I. (2004). At risk: natural hazards, people’s vulnerability and disasters, 2nd end. Routledge, London, 220p.